The stats not only say mortality is substantially down from previous years with "seasonal flu" - it appears H1N1 is a relatively "benign" flu.
Also in extract:
"There is also far less certainty today regarding the severity of the threat of pandemic flu. Experts are unsure that the 2009 pandemic—which the World Health Organization presently characterises as moderate6—will be any worse than seasonal flu.7 8 9 Since the emergence of novel A/H1N1, descriptions of pandemic flu (both its causes and its effect) have changed to such a degree that the difference between seasonal flu and pandemic flu is now unclear (table ).10 WHO, for example, for years defined pandemics as outbreaks causing "enormous numbers of deaths and illness,"10 but in early May, removed this phrase from the definition."
This clearly looks at the effectivley over-hyped nature of H1N! and casts doubt on the usefulness of the vaccine (esp. in risk/benefit model). The author offers a recalibration of flu to include both potential for transmission (r.g. H1N1 would be high and SARS low) as well as severity (e.g. H1N1 low, SARS high). I'm unable to reproduce here but ask folks to look at Fig 2 Proposed classification of impact of new infectious diseases.
Edited by GeorgeWolff, 07 October 2009 - 01:55 PM.